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Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.Faba Bank: Some people think that Trump's policies (especially tariffs) will not cause inflation. However, market analysts have been misled and need to take Trump's tariff policy seriously.Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.

About 300 people have been killed in the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs. On December 12, local time, it was learned that the attack on civilians by Haitian gangs continued. As of December 11, the number of victims has reached nearly 300, and nearly 60 people have been kidnapped. (CCTV News)Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement case was a foregone conclusion at the end of 8 years, and the infringer paid a maximum of 20 million yuan. Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement dispute case, which lasted for nearly 8 years, finally came to a foregone conclusion. Shanghai Intellectual Property Court recently made a first-instance civil judgment on a series of trademark infringement cases in which Polo/Lauren Co., Ltd., Ralph Lauren Asia Pacific Co., Ltd. and Ralph Lauren Trading (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. jointly sued Shanghai Ruifa Clothing Co., Ltd., Qingyuan Huahao Zhibai Leather Clothing Products Co., Ltd., Guangzhou Huahao Industry Co., Ltd. and luoding city Yasi Clothing Co., Ltd. The court ruled that the defendant's use of "Polo", "Polo Sport", "Polo Gear" and "polo sport" constituted trademark infringement, and must immediately stop all infringement activities, including the use of similar trademarks and the sale of goods with similar trademarks, and pay a total of 20 million yuan in compensation. Compared with the previous administrative judgment that the infringing trademark is invalid, the significance of this civil judgment is that it has mandatory force to require the shops and other channels suspected of infringement to stop operating, and the total compensation of 20 million yuan is far higher than the legal compensation amount of 5 million yuan stipulated in the trademark law, which is one of the cases that have obtained the highest compensation in China's trademark infringement cases. (Interface News)Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.

The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Wanwuyun: Signing a new framework agreement with Vanke, with the term ending at the end of 2027. On December 13th, Wanwu cloud hosting Science and Technology Service Co., Ltd. (02602.HK) issued an announcement. In view of the fact that the existing framework agreement will expire on December 31st, 2024 and the company intends to continue to sign similar transactions thereafter, the board of directors announced that Wanwuyun signed a new framework agreement with Vanke on December 12th, 2024, including a framework agreement on the use and maintenance of new technology systems. New property leasing Framework Agreement; New AIoT and BPaaS solution service framework agreement; New property service framework agreement; New value-added service framework agreement; And the new property agency service framework agreement, valid from January 1, 2025 to December 31, 2027. As of the date of announcement, Vanke Company accounts for 56.84% of the issued share capital of Wanwuyun and is the controlling shareholder. At the same time, the announcement shows that the extraordinary general meeting of shareholders will be held on December 31, 2024 to review and approve related transactions and annual caps. In addition, Wanwuyun announced that its registered address in China has been changed to Room 2201, Building B, Chuangzhiyun Center, No.1 Guangsha Road, Futian District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.